Showing posts with label Air travel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Air travel. Show all posts

Tuesday, 2 June 2020

More Climate Change Bollocks

This spring has been a tough one for the Alarmists. All across the world, economies have slowed down, skies have cleared, so that, for instance, Mt Everest is visible from Kathmandu for the first time in living memory. The Alarmist message has been churned out "look what we could do if we only make the effort", neatly avoiding the conclusion if that's all wrecking half the world's economies gets us, then what's it going to take to get the full "save the planet" reduction in emissions. However, from the moment the Lockdown movement spread across the world like wildfire, the weather in the UK has been amazingly sunny.

Now it turns out that May was the sunniest month on record and the Alarmists have a dilemma: do they shout "Global Warming, we're all going to die" and risk people drawing the obvious conclusion that the much-vaunted reduction in emissions seems to have had the opposite effect to what it is supposed to have, or do they just keep schtum and hope people don't notice?

I've been wondering these last few days just when they would crack and, from the BBC article, it looks like the temptation to preach has become just too strong. Mind you, it's reasonably impressive that they held themselves in for this long, but I expect we will be seeing that picture of a starving polar bear again soon.

Sunday, 12 January 2020

Shit PR by Boeing

From The Evening Standard:

Planes giant Boeing was humiliated on Friday after hundreds of internal emails showed staff fraught with concerns over possible design flaws on the 737 MAX, saying the doomed jet had been “designed by clowns”...

According to documents released to Congress today, Boeing employees repeatedly raised concerns internally about design issues, with one person involved saying software had “piss poor” design and was “doomed”.

“This airplane is designed by clowns who in turn are supervised by monkeys,” the employee wrote in April 2017. Another employee involved in the jet’s development wrote: “Part of me wants to see it fail so we can say WE TOLD YOU SO. That’s kind of sick of me, huh.”


That seems pretty damning to me, you'd think that Boeing would just keep quiet and pray for lenience.

But no:

Boeing apologised for the messages. “The language used in these communications, and some of the sentiments they express, are inconsistent with Boeing values, and the company is taking appropriate action in response.”

Exactly not.

Those emails are entirely consistent with Boeing's (lack of) values, as evidenced by the subsequent 737 disasters and botched cover-up attempts. Boeing shouldn't be apologising for the messages, they should be apologising for the crimes (that were exposed by the messages). The "appropriate action" would be to never cut corners like this again and listen to their engineers' concerns in future.

Saturday, 28 September 2019

Don't just book it...

From The Torygraph:

As many as 150,000 Thomas Cook passengers have been left stranded abroad awaiting repatriation after the travel giant ceased trading.

The company was unable to secure the extra £200 million needed to keep the business afloat following a full day of crucial talks with the major shareholder and creditors on Sunday, leaving thousands of travel plans in chaos.

This morning, the last Thomas Cook flights landed in the UK, with staff in tears and passengers coordinating a 'whip round' of donations. Transport Secretary Grant Shapps said dozens of charter planes, from as far afield as Malaysia, had been hired to fly customers home free of charge and hundreds of people were working in call centres and at airports.


I really don't get it.

Thomas Cook (not sure which bits, the corporate structure is unclear to me) went bankrupt and the administrators pulled down the shutters. Sacked their staff, cancelled future flights etc.

This leaves lots of people who have to get home somehow. A lot of them ended up paying extortionate ticket prices to get home. This illustrates my point that a large part of airline ticket prices is pure rent. They could get away with it because of temporary scarcity. Thomas Cook's jets were parked somewhere, their slots left unused with all their pilots and crew out of work - while planes and crews "from as far afield as Malaysia" were being hired at huge cost. Why not use what's nearest to hand?

'Somebody' has to pay for the stranded passengers to get home. For the purposes of this discussion, it does not matter whether that is the passengers themselves, their holiday insurance companies, ATOL, the UK government. And that cost should be kept as low as possible.

My question is, why didn't the UK CAA or ATOL simply chip in for one or two week's operating costs, long enough to get everybody home? That would be a lot less hassle than sorting out a hundred thousand individual insurance/compensation claims (and "hundreds of [extra] people... working in call centres and at airports"). It would work out far cheaper for the 'somebody' who ends up footing the bill, that saving being equal and opposite to the super-profits/rents which surviving airlines have just collected, plus the reduction in admin and hassle for all concerned.

Tuesday, 24 September 2019

And Thomas Cook's main asset is...

From City AM:

Meanwhile, assets like its combined 560 take-off and landing slots at Gatwick and Manchester are likely to be snapped up by other airlines over the coming months.

In late 2017, British Airways bought 20 prime take-off and landing slots from collapsed airline Monarch at Gatwick and Luton. That deal was worth an estimated £60m.

Wednesday, 31 July 2019

"The dangers of slot auctions"

From Airlines.IATA.org:

Recently, China experimented with the idea, putting a selection of slots on the market at Guangzhou Baiyun and running a slot lottery at Shanghai Pudong. This raised a substantial amount of cash but, according to an IATA assessment, that is part of the problem.

“The experiment showed that paying a large amount of money for slots is not sustainable,” says James Wiltshire, IATA’s Senior Economist. “If you boil down the money paid for the Chinese slots to a per passenger basis, it pretty much wipes out the anticipated $4.44 per passenger average profit for Asia-Pacific carriers in 2017, and that’s only for slots at one end of the route.”

In other words, even a small-scale slot auction can be the difference between profit and loss for an airline. The same conclusion can be reached from a different viewpoint.

In China, the auction winners have been granted the right to use the slot for three years. It typically takes up to three years for airlines to make money on new routes, given start-up costs, marketing, and the time taken to develop consumer awareness.


Are they saying that airlines are so f***ing stupid, they would a single dime for a slot which is not going to earn them a profit?

Seriously?

I think the three year claim is an outright lie as well. If you want to fly from A to B, you type in A and B on one of these comparison sites and choose whichever time and price suit you, I'm sure most people don't care who the actual airline is. I doubt anybody cares whether that airline has ben flying that route for decades or for a couple of weeks.

As it stands, at the 177 airports where IATA’s Worldwide Slot Guidelines (WSG) are used, demand outstrips infrastructure supply.

This makes slots a scarce commodity. Airport owners, government or private, would have an incentive to keep slot prices high by drip-feeding capacity.


Brilliant one-sided economics worthy of the Faux Libs. Slot prices are only high because ticket prices are high; and tickets prices are high because supply is restricted. So incumbent airlines are actually quite happy with restricted supply - it keeps their profits up. (I am heartily indifferent as to whether there should be more capacity or not, the Greenies would say definitely not).

Secondary trading

Secondary trading is completely different from slot auctions, which concern primary allocation. With secondary trading, airlines can swap slots that they have been given the right to use under the WSG but are unable to use in the future.

Not every jurisdiction allows secondary trading and it is probably only required at the most congested gateways. In the UK, secondary trading has been used successfully at London Heathrow and, to a lesser extent, at London Gatwick.

Airlines must have used a slot for two years before it can be traded but the final deal is dependent purely on the negotiations between the two parties.


And at the major hubs, large amounts of cash change hands.

But that is somehow COMPLETELY different to a public auction. Not.

Tuesday, 11 June 2019

No more fear of flying

Emailed in by Benj, from IATA.org, the Q&A box:

How are slot allocations made?

Slots are handed out twice a year, for summer and winter schedules. “Grandfather” rights entitle incumbent airlines to continue using the slot if it has been used for at least 80 per cent of the previous period. In the UK, slots are traded in the secondary market

What about new slots?

New slots are put into a pool. Half are supposed to go to new airlines

What’s being proposed?

The government wants to promote competition, including auctioning slots to the highest bidder. The existing system provides incentives for “slot hoarding”, when airlines retain as many slots as possible and sell them to make a profit.


From the article itself:

Existing slots are held by airlines using so-called “grandfather rights”. In Britain, they can be traded in a “secondary market”, often commanding huge sums. A record $75 million was paid by Oman Air for a set of rights at Heathrow. 

The government said in its Brexit planning guidance that slot allocations would remain unchanged in the event of no deal. It insisted that the rights would be allocated in a “transparent and non-discriminatory way”.

However, the transport department is understood to be seriously considering the adoption of an auction system. The department’s aviation strategy, published before Christmas, confirmed that the government was considering market-based mechanisms for release of additional capacity”, and added: “This could include auctioning all slots or a limited number that would be most sought-after.” 


A House of Commons library paper from 2017 admitted that auctions “may be more difficult for small carriers with lower purchasing power”.

Lara Maughan, the IATA head of worldwide airport slots, said: “Making airlines pay for entering or growing at an airport means consumers will be the losers. At a time when Britain is looking to improve its competitiveness and to build more connections to the world, these proposed changes will do the exact opposite. 


"Extracting even more cash from airlines and their passengers will mean higher costs, less choice and less investment. The government’s stated objective to improve regional access to Heathrow would be irreparably damaged by an auction system that would force airlines to prioritise the most lucrative long-haul routes.”

IAG said: “We support IATA’s view that slot auctions would negatively impact consumers and undermine Britain’s aviation industry.”


Do these people not proof-read their own propaganda?

1. The easiest way to make money from aviation under current rules is to set up a small airline, be allocated some freebie-slots and then sell the slots. The article says as much. Small new airlines tend to go out of business fairly quickly, and when the majors are buying them, they value them mainly on the slots they own. It's a bit like buying land, getting planning permission and then selling the land again. It's the most profitable part of 'property developing'.

2. If airlines are happy to pay for second-hand slots, how is this any different to paying the government for them? No different. And paying one year in advance in an auction is a lot less risky than paying a lump sum in the hope it will be grandfathered for ever. If their claim that auctions lead to higher ticket prices were correct, then there would be a sudden increase in ticket prices after a slot has been bought by a successor airline. No such evidence.

3. We know that ticket prices are largely 'rent' and have little to do with costs. A flight from Stansted to Gdansk is a longer distance, but cheaper than a flight from London Heathrow to Berlin Tegel. An early morning or late night flight is cheaper than a midday flight etc. Flights to holiday destinations during the school holidays are more expensive than out-of-season. Airlines like to fill planes, so do a weird auction process with rising or falling prices; different passengers on the same flight will have paid different amounts. If costs exceed (potential) ticket price, the route is not used.

4. The balance of ticket prices minus actual costs is the rental element. A slot in itself has no cost of production, they are created - or destroyed - at the stroke of a bureaucrat's pen. Some have huge value (unrelated to cost of production), so they are 'land' in economic terms. Therefore, what you pay for the slot does not influence ticket prices - ticket prices influence slot values!

5. The small airlines are the Poor Widows or the Small Shopkeepers of the aviation business, "They'll go out of business because the majors have deeper pockets." That's easily dealt with, keep giving them free slots, on the condition that if they go out of business or are taken over by a major, the slots are forfeited. or just make them free for the first two or three years until they are up and running.

6. If an auction system "forces airlines to 'prioritise the most lucrative long-haul routes", then that is great news. I note that the IATA lady also claims that auctions would prevent airlines from "build[ing] connections to the world". So which is it? It can't be both.

7. It's the take-off and landing that incur the highest costs (fuel used; risks/risk mitigation and noise pollution), so it is more efficient to fly long haul. If that means fewer, less lucrative domestic flights, so be it. Take the train or drive. All things considered, this is better for the economy.

8. Whatever the merits of auctions, they are infinitely better than Air Passenger Duty. We don't know whether auctions would raise more or less money than APD; of whether this would lead to more or less flying, but that is irrelevant. It would be the 'right' amount of money and the 'right' amount of flying.

Thursday, 8 November 2018

"Increased frequency of travel may act to decrease the chance of a global pandemic"

From BioRxiv.org:

The high frequency of modern travel has led to concerns about a devastating pandemic since a lethal pathogen strain could spread worldwide quickly.

Many historical pandemics have arisen following pathogen evolution to a more virulent form. However, some pathogen strains invoke immune responses that provide partial cross-immunity against infection with related strains.

Here, we consider a mathematical model of successive outbreaks of two strains: a low virulence strain outbreak followed by a high virulence strain outbreak. Under these circumstances, we investigate the impacts of varying travel rates and cross-immunity on the probability that a major epidemic of the high virulence strain occurs, and the size of that outbreak.

Frequent travel between subpopulations can lead to widespread immunity to the high virulence strain, driven by exposure to the low virulence strain. As a result, major epidemics of the high virulence strain are less likely, and can potentially be smaller, with more connected subpopulations. 


Cross-immunity may be a factor contributing to the absence of a global pandemic as severe as the 1918 influenza pandemic in the century since.

Seems plausible to me. Either we have just been incredibly lucky for the past century, or there is a self-correcting mechanism that reduces the risk of pandemics.

Wednesday, 28 March 2018

And hopefully Dubai Intl Airport will decline into insignificance like Gander Intl Airport did.

From Traveller.com:

The first non-stop commercial flight between Australia and the UK has touched down in London. QF9 arrived at 5.02am local time on Sunday morning after a 17-hour long-haul from Perth.

A bit of aviation history:

Construction of the airport began in 1936 and it was opened in 1938, with its first landing on January 11 of that year, by Captain Douglas Fraser flying a Fox Moth of Imperial Airways. Within a few years it had four runways and was the largest airport in the world. Its official name until 1949 was Newfoundland Airport...

Gander is near the great circle route between cities of the U.S. East Coast and London. Starting in the 1940s it was a refueling stop for transatlantic flights to Scotland, Ireland and beyond, and continued in this role through the early 1960s and in some cases into the 1990s...

With the advent of jets with longer range in the 1960s, most flights no longer needed to refuel. Gander has decreased in importance, but it remains the home of Gander Control, one of the two air traffic controls (the other being Shanwick Oceanic Control in western Ireland) which direct the high-level airways of the North Atlantic.


Dubai is the modern equivalent of Gander. Flights have to stop there to refuel and most passengers never leave the airport.

What will happen to the rental value of land in Dubai? It declines - that rental value now accrues to airports at end destinations and their hinterlands as they will be more easily accessible.

Tuesday, 3 October 2017

Monarch and the monopoly value of landing slots.

From City AM:

Shares in some of Monarch's airline rivals jumped this morning after the news that Britain's fifth biggest carrier had ceased trading.

Easyjet, which was reported to be one of a number of parties in talks with Monarch to save the airline, led the way and was this morning's biggest FTSE 100 gainer. Shares were up almost five per cent by lunchtime. Wizz Air was up almost four per cent and was quick to offer Monarch customers so-called "Rescue Fares" to help people stranded in Tel Aviv get back to the UK. Ryanair shares rose 2.64 per cent while Flybe was up 2.2 per cent and British Airways owner IAG was up over two per cent.


According to another article, the increase in value of shares in the other airlines was £500 million (ironically, a similar amount to what Monarch's last owners lost).

Why would this happen? Woolworth's, MFI and HMV went *pop* ten years ago, because retail generally was doing badly (credit crunch and internet competition) and they were doing worst. Did shares in other retailers jump? No. They all had the wolf at the door.

The answer is simple. From The Birmingham Mail:

Rivals have begun circling the carcass of collapsed airline Monarch in the hope of bagging its landing slots as the firm's administrator prepares to carve up its assets.

The likes of easyJet, Wizz Air, Norwegian Air Shuttle and British Airways owner IAG are understood to be mulling moves for the carrier's slots, which span Manchester, Gatwick, Birmingham, Luton and Leeds-Bradford airports, according to people familiar with the matter.

Robin Byde, transport analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald, said that Monarch's assets would be attractive to easyJet in particular. "Monarch assets may enable easyJet to increase frequencies on common routes, gain more attractive year-round and seasonal slots, and generally take market share. On fleets, synergies could be attractive as Monarch currently operates 34 Airbus A320-family aircraft which are compatible with easyJet's fleet."


The allocation of landing slots is murky, historically, airlines got them "for free" on a use-it or lose-it basis.

You can sell them on provided you've actually used them 80% of the time over the past X months, so the liquidators of Monarch only have a short period to sell them before the slots all forfeited. So there's half a billion quids' worth of mini-monopoly slots now to be sold cheap in a fire sale or given away "for free" by the regulators (with a corresponding number of cheap second hand aircraft), hence the increase in the share price of its competitors.

Friday, 21 July 2017

Glorious politician waffle.

From the BBC:

Transport Secretary Chris Grayling said:

"Our new aviation strategy will look beyond the new runway at Heathrow and sets [sic] out a comprehensive long-term plan for UK aviation. It will support jobs and economic growth across the whole of the UK. Our vision puts the passenger at the heart of what we do, but also recognises the need to address the impacts of aviation on communities and the environment."


None of that has any tangible meaning whatsoever, it's the usual kitchen sink random list bollocks.

An actual expert gets to down to brass tacks:

Martin Rolfe, chief executive of NATS, said the consultation process could take between two and three years, "so millions and millions of people will have a say in aircraft flying over their house".

He told the BBC's Today programme: "Local communities are very obviously concerned about what more traffic might look like, but actually modernising [airspace] means we can keep aircraft higher for longer. "We can have them descend more steeply than they currently do because modern aircraft are more capable than the types of aircraft that were in service when this airspace was originally designed."


I'll mark him down for using the meaningless phrase "local communities" instead of just "people", but hey.

Monday, 20 February 2017

Air Passenger Duty bleating LOLZ

More rent seeking in the City AM:

In one part of Whitehall, the Department for Transport, ministers and civil servants recognise the importance of developing policies over the next decade to help UK aviation to grow sustainably...

But their efforts will be largely in vain if the Treasury cannot be persuaded to abandon hopelessly uncompetitive APD rates that are a major obstacle to UK businesses seeking to follow the Prime Minister’s lead by going into the world and building new trading relationships...

Of course, it is good news that the government has given the green light to the construction of a new runway, but the fact is that we will massively reduce the impact of expanding aviation capacity if we don’t have a competitive tax regime that will enable us to take advantage of it...

The government should also ensure that aviation-related negotiations and decisions are prioritised during the EU withdrawal process – but unless the UK tax environment is competitive, all the air services agreements in the world won’t make it viable for airlines to open new routes to and from the UK.


A few facts:

Gatwick and Heathrow are running at close to 100% capacity, so by definition, APD cannot be reducing the number of flights there. APD might have a marginal impact on the number of flights at less popular/regional airports, but the rentiers don't care about 'the regions'.

The bulk of the value/price of an airline ticket is where you are flying to and from and at what time of the day etc, the actual cost of doing it is surprisingly small. Compare the price of a ticket from Stansted to Riga with the price of a ticket from Heathrow to Berlin, or the price of a very early/late flight with one in the daytime! The difference in price is rent/location value.

Admittedly, APD is a dreadfully clunky way of collecting part of the rental value, but compared to VAT-liable businesses, airlines are still getting a fairly good deal overall:

Air transport is VAT zero-rated. That means that they can reclaim all input VAT but do not have to charge VAT, a best-of-both worlds status also enjoyed by 'home builders' and proper exporters.

Total revenues of UK airlines £22 billion per annum.

Total UK APD revenues £3 billion per annum.

Ignoring the fact that UK airlines also have non-UK revenues and some APD is payable on flights with non-UK airlines, passengers are paying £25 billion all in.

If air travel were VAT-able, the VAT due would be one-sixth of that = £4.2 billion, a lot more than the £3 billion they are actually paying.

Under the circumstances, it would probably be better to get rid of APD and impose VAT instead; that would bear more heavily on flights to and from Heathrow and Gatwick and would reduce the tax paid on flight to and from less popular/regional airports, as well as collecting a larger share of the rental income. The problem then would be collecting VAT from non-UK airlines, I'm not sure how you'd enforce that.

So as ever, the best kind of tax on air travel is a charge on the value of the landing slots, whether the airlines pay it directly or it is included in the Business Rates assessment of the airports is by the by. Airports themselves are probably in the best position to negotiate this and they can just add it to their landing fees.

Heathrow wants a new runway? Fine, they can haggle with HM Treasury over what the extra Business Rates will be; they are in the best position to work out how much extra pure profit they can make. HM Treasury can run a parallel auction with Gatwick, and whoever bids the most is allowed to build a new runway.

Sorted.

Saturday, 24 December 2016

"Only three passengers on BA flight enjoy champagne and selfies"

From the BBC:

Three British Airways passengers had a once-in-a-lifetime flight after finding they were the only ones on board.

Lawrie-Lin Waller, 33, said she and her friends were upgraded to business class, treated to bottles of champagne, and posed for selfies with the captain. And on their trip from Gibraltar to Heathrow on 17 December, her friends Laura Stevens, 34, and Sarah Hunt, 35, enjoyed three-course meals.

Ms Waller said: "We're never going to experience anything like that again."


Something like that once happened to me, it was a small airplane London City to Tessino, Switzerland, it had a capacity of maybe fifty people but there were only five or six of us. So second and third helpings of snacks and booze for everybody.

The plane made a pit stop at a tiny airstrip in the west of Switzerland to let one passenger get off. The stewardess said they were making good time and if anybody wanted to get out for a smoke they were welcome. A couple of us duly decamped to the bar at the side of the tarmac, had another pint and a couple of fags until the stewardess came in and shepherded us back onto the plane.

Not quite as impressive as the BA story, but truly a memorable/once in a lifetime event (I don't fly that often so I can't say how often it happens).

Tuesday, 31 March 2015

Daily Mail on top form

Spotted by Pyotr Wasik (who I still assume is Flashman) in The Daily Mail:

[Complete and utter bastard] Andreas Lubitz was signed off by two different doctors for the day of the Germanwings disaster but failed to tell his employers, it has been reported...

It also emerged today that his parents only discovered that their son was a mass murderer just minutes before the bombshell press conference by prosecutors in Marseille. His mother, a piano teacher, and father, a successful businessman, were understood to be in the French city at the time of the announcement, but kept separate from the victims' relatives...

The couple's £400,00 two-storey detached home in Montabaur, a town 40 miles from Bonn where Lubitz is thought to have grown up, was also searched by detectives.

Friday, 6 March 2015

"The Gift" by Velvet Underground...

... turns out to be based on a true story, which had happened a couple of years before the song was recorded.

The only real embellishment was that in the song, Marsha's friend Sheila tries to break open the box by stabbing it with a sheet metal cutter and accidentally kills Walter. In the true story, Reg Spiers managed to arrive safe and sound.

Monday, 9 February 2015

Chigaco Convention of 1944, Article 8 - Pilotless aircraft

While researching that post about Heathrow at the weekend, I thought it best to re-read what the treaty actually says on the subject of landing fees. Quite sensibly, it says that each country can decide its own landing fees, but may not charge foreign airlines more than domestic airlines (Art 15)...

... when I noticed this:

Article 8 - Pilotless aircraft

No aircraft capable of being flown without a pilot shall be flown without a pilot over the territory of a contracting State without special authorization by that State and in accordance with the terms of such authorization.

Each contracting State undertakes to insure that the flight of such aircraft without a pilot in regions open to civil aircraft shall be so controlled as to obviate danger to civil aircraft.

Wednesday, 7 January 2015

George Osborne: Knows sweet FA about how prices are set

From The Daily Mail:

The Chancellor insisted it was ‘vital [that the fall in the price of crude oil] was passed on to families at petrol pumps, through utility bills and air fares’.

‘The Government is conducting studies of industries like the utilities and the airlines. We are examining if any action needs to be taken,’ a Treasury spokesman said.


How much the price of a) petrol, b) domestic energy bills and c) air fares fall when oil prices fall are three entirely separate topics.

a) Petrol is the easiest. The market is highly competitive, and falls in the price of oil are passed on in lower prices almost immediately (even though demand is fairly price-insensitive).

In round figures

July 2014

Pump price £1.32, knock off VAT = £1.10, knock off 59p fuel duty and 10p profit margin for the transporters/retailers = residual cost of actual oil = 41p/litre.

Crude oil $110/barrel, convert to £ at 1.70, divide by 159 litres = 41p/litre.

January 2015

Pump price £1.10, knock off VAT = £0.91, knock off 59p fuel duty and 10p profit margin = residual cost of oil = 22p/litre.

Crude oil $55/barrel, convert to £ at 1.55, divide by 159 litres = 22p/litre.

b) With domestic energy, it is nigh impossible to calculate by how much prices will fall for umpteen reasons which have nothing to do with the price of oil. Generators also use coal, gas and nuclear; generators and customers are locked into various fixed price contracts, there is little ease of substitution etc, so let's not bother.

UPDATE: VFTS in the comments reminds us that according to Energy UK, only 1% of UK electricity is generated from oil. i.e. in practical terms none at all.

c) Air fares are set according to what the market will bear.

This bears very little relation to costs in the short or even medium term. Some flights are run at a loss because the airlines don't want to forfeit their landing rights (they hope that things will pick up in future); some flights are hugely profitable.

International travellers will pay a lot more to land at a London airport than elsewhere in the UK, even though the total distance flown is much the same, etc. UK travellers have to pay a lot more to fly to a major European city rather than somewhere in the back of beyond.*

If this were not the case, then landing slots at London airports would not be bought and sold for such huge amounts of money. What the purchaser is paying for is the scarcity-monopoly-rental value. Airlines just try to sell as many tickets as possible for the highest price possible using a variety of auction methods (i.e. trial and error).

So the overall impact on air fares will be minimal, although we would expect a modest reduction overall; it will be negligible at London airports and larger at regional airports which are running at two-thirds capacity on average.

* Thanks to the miracle that is the internet, we can quickly establish that flights from Leeds-Bradford to Geneva start from £86 (British Airways); a similar distance flight from Heathrow to Munich starts from £141 (also British Airways).

Wednesday, 3 September 2014

RyanAir's tried and tested press release gets its annual outing

From Scotland Herald:

RYANAIR chief Michael O'Leary warned Air Passenger Duty was strangling growth at Prestwick Airport as the airline unveiled plans to slash its summer schedule at the hub by a third...

Yup, they quite sensibly reduce the number of their scheduled flights every year at the end of the holiday season, and they always blame it on Air Passenger duty.

Funny how they never issue a press release at the start of the holiday season to explain why they are increasing the number of scheduled flights, even though APD is still there.

For the last few years' episodes, click http://markwadsworth.blogspot.co.uk/2013/10/how-years-fly-by.html">here.

Tuesday, 2 September 2014

"Middle aged man is outraged at being told computer generated image is not actually an airport"

From The Daily Mail and The Daily Mail:

News that Boris Island, a computer generated image of an airport, is not and will never be an airport has devastated millions of fans.

But no one was more overwhelmed by the news than this mop-headed Londoner, who could not contain his shock, horror and disbelief that the image proudly displayed on the wall of his office is a complete fantasy.

The overweight politician, Boris, was utterly dismayed at the revelation. And he didn't hold back his feelings, venting at Airports Commission chairman Sir Howard Davies who filmed his dramatic reaction and posted it on YouTube.

"What’s the matter, Boris?" Sir Howard asks. "Did you read our final report?’

"I’m not talking to you,"’ Boris says. And then proceeds to let rip, demonstrating an eloquence far beyond his years.

"You don't want Boris Island to be an actual airport," he says, on the verge of tears, lips a-quiver and with a wobble in his voice. But he doesn't let his emotions take over.

"There won't even be an island called after me," the Conservative PPC continues, clearly disbelieving the news.

"And how does that make you feel? You don’t like it?" Sir Howard taunts.

"I hate it," the former Spectator editor says vehemently, staring at the camera.

"It looks like an airport! On an island!," he screams. And quite sensibly as well.

Articulating every word, the Bullingdon boy continues, "It cannot be dismissed as just another one of my vanity projects."

"I’m sorry, that's exactly what it is," Sir Howard says.

"You’re not posting this on Facebook either," ends the mayor.

The Airports Commission chairman posted the clip on YouTube, titled ‘The London mayor didn't appreciate the truth about Boris Island'.

According to the Airports Commission, Boris Island is possibly the most ludicrous waste of money ever, an artificial island in the middle of an important waterway with no existing transport connections, dozens of miles outside of London.

Tuesday, 6 May 2014

'They went down like nine pins one after the other, it was hell'

From The Daily Mail

A dramatic emergency operation was launched at Heathrow airport yesterday after members of a British children's choir fell ill on a flight.

Specially trained paramedics met the Emirates plane and ambulances waited on the tarmac amid fears that dozens of youngsters were unwell.

A parent described children going 'down like nine pins' as the mystery illness struck while flight EK007 was in the air.


From imdb.com:

Dr Rumack: What was it we had for dinner tonight?

Flight attendant Elaine Dickinson: Well, we had a choice of steak or fish.

Dr Rumack: Yes, yes, I remember, I had lasagna.

Monday, 7 April 2014

"Meanwhile, in other high-altitude cow transportation news..."

Spotted by JuliaM at David Thompson's blog (scroll down a bit).

"If they learn how to make fire, we’re buggered."