According to the BBC:
Chancellor George Osborne announced plans to axe the scheme, which was designed to keep students coming to class, saying it had very high "dead weight costs". The Department for Education has highlighted research that suggests many of the grants' recipients would attend college or school whether they received the money or not.
Not sure what he means by 'dead weight costs', but apparently "Staying-on rates improved, according to research by the Institute for Fiscal Studies and Loughborough University. Overall, they were up 5.9 percentage points among those who were eligible for the grants."
For the sake of this discussion, let us assume that staying on at school is An Unalloyed Good and that this is the sole purpose of the EMA; that two-thirds of children are eligible (parents not over income threshold); that without the scheme, two-thirds of eligible children would stay on; and with the scheme an extra 5.9% stay on. So without it, 66.7% of eligible children stay on and with it, 70.6% stay on. There are (round figures) 2,000,000 eligible children (three age cohorts x two-thirds), so that means there are an extra 79,000 children at school.
According to the first BBC article, "EMA was an expensive programme, costing over £560m a year with administration costs amounting to £36m". So every additional pupil-year costs a princely £7,500 (£596 million ÷ 79,000), which is in addition to the marginal costs of teaching a marginal pupil, so George may have a point there.
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Direct.gov no longer explains the means-testing, so let's go by what Wiki says:
£30 per week for those whose household income is under £20,817 p.a.;
£20 per week for those whose household income is between £20,818 and £25,521 p.a.;
£10 per week for those whose household income is between £25,522 and £30,810 p.a.
So let's imagine a couple with two kids aged 16-19, and one parent was earning £20,813 a year who were receiving £3,120 per year EMA (plus loads of Working Tax Credits and so on). If the other parent decided it was time to go back to work (so that their teenage kids can stay on) and got a job offer for £10,000 a year, was there any point taking it?
Not really. They'd lose all that £3,120 a year EMA as well as up to 39% x £10,000 Working Tax Credits (£3,900), and there'd be £1,176 PAYE deducted, so total benefits lost + tax paid = £8,196, so what's left over out of £10,000 was not even enough to cover that parent's bus fare, really. So we can add that to the dead weight costs as well.
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Where the Lib-Cons get a big minus point is that with one hand, they are taking away money from lower income parents in order to save a few quid and with the other hand they are taking away Child Benefit from a random selection of higher earning families, which will cost as much in extra administration and hassle as it saves in money paid out (not to mention discouraging marriage and increasing the marginal interest rate on certain people).
The sensible way of doing all this is of course to scrap Child Tax Credits and the EMA, add it to the total amount paid out as Child Benefit and dish it out as a higher flat rate universal Child Benefit (this would work out at about £35 per child per week, assuming we restrict it to the first three children), but it's not like they listen to me.
Even better, they'd shut down state provision of education and give every parent Education Vouchers instead, separate topic.
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13 comments:
I agree with solution one.
And doubly so for solution two.
BQ, thanks for vote of confidence. The obvious Solution 3 is to scrap Working Tax Credits and increase the tax-free personal allowance; and Solution 4 is to make this allowance transferable between couples, but that's even further off-topic.
which will cost as much in extra administration and hassle as it saves in money paid out
Aye, there's the rub - the admin costs.
University grants are the same. Someone I know is a single mum with an only child at Uni. she has a good job, but if she earns any more the grants her daughter disappear and the extra taxed income would not cover the loss. She is resigned to not persuing promotion or a better job until her daughter has graduated.
Is not the law changing soon (or has changed) so that you can't leave school at 16 any more? You have to go into some form of post 16 education?
In which case why do we need to pay kids any money to incentivise them to stay on, when they will have to by law anyway?
MA, yup, means testing is really just a savage tax on low to middle earners.
S, that was a fine NuLab gimmick, with a long list of exemptions for everybody who would have dropped out anyway and would have achieved precisely f- all.
But point taken: the authoritarian way (fining people for not doing something) can often be cheaper than the 'nudge' way (paying people to do something).
JH, in political terms, the Child Benefit cut was pure gold ('It's a waste of taxpayers' money' and 'Rich people don't need it' etc).
Just one point to note, you should probably use the new tax rates, thresholds & tax credit withdrawals as this change is not going to affect the current tax year
SW, well spotted. I deliberately used the rates in force last year because that was a historic example (and I can't be bothered to track down e.g. when 39% WTC withdrawal went to 41% and so on).
marksany: "University grants are the same. Someone I know is a single mum with an only child at Uni. she has a good job, but if she earns any more the grants her daughter disappear and the extra taxed income would not cover the loss. She is resigned to not persuing promotion or a better job until her daughter has graduated."
We must call Harriet Harman immediately!! Means-testing of student finance is increasing the gender(motherhood) pay gap!!
"SW, well spotted. I deliberately used the rates in force last year because that was a historic example (and I can't be bothered to track down e.g. when 39% WTC withdrawal went to 41% and so on)."
Its up on the rates & tables pages along with the new base amounts. Starting from 6/4/11
SW, true, but my example, jumping exactly from just below the lowest EMA threshold to just above the upper EMA threshold was rather artificial, and for general guidance only. If you go from £21k to £24k you lose nothing, but if you go from threshold minus £1 to threshold plus £1, you lose 500 times as much as your pay rise.
And there's no point doing an example using new rates post 5/4/11 because EMA won't exist any more (I think).
I can honestly say that EMA wasn't the reason that I went to college. I can also confirm that during the time I spent at college I had a part-time job as a burger flipper, plenty of cash to pay for tram fares, pens, paper, new fancy pants calculator & to get drunk 2-3 nights a week (after turning 18 of course....)
If people truly want to gain A-Levels rather than do an apprenticeship then they will find a way to do so, there are plenty of jobs out there as they like to hire part-time lower minimum wage 16/17 year olds over 18+
Scrapping EMA will have no adverse affect on those who truly want to learn.
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