From the BBC:
According to analysis by polling expert John Curtice, if the results of Thursday's polls in Wales, Scotland and 32 county councils in England were repeated nationally, the Conservatives would be on 38%, Labour 27%, the Lib Dems 18% and UKIP 5%.
With some form of PR, the best being probably multi-member constituencies, there'd probably be a slight left/centre-left majority in the House of Commons, which is the opposite of the slight Leave majority in last year's Referendum.
Not sure who'd get the missing 12% of the votes, presumably the regional/nationalist parties, SNP, Plaid Cymru and so on, who tend to be (seen as) more on the left.
Saturday, 6 May 2017
Fun with numbers/FPTP
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
15:44
9
comments
Labels: FPTP, Proportional representation
Sunday, 16 March 2014
Etonians at Westminster
From the BBC
In an interview in Saturday's FT, the education secretary said: "It doesn't make me feel personally uncomfortable, because I like each of the individuals concerned.
"But it's ridiculous. I don't know where you can find a similar situation in any other developed economy."
The FT said Mr Gove was reflecting on the number of those close to the prime minister who were educated, like Mr Cameron, at the boys' independent school.
The reason is the same as the reason why we've had 2 Milibands in parliament, a couple of Bottomleys, The Wintertons, Kirkbride/McKay, Mr and Mrs Dromey, Mr and Mrs Ed Balls, a clutch of Benns and the Eagle sisters, and that is that we have the First Past the Post electoral system and most of the world doesn't. And one of the results of that is you get "safe seats" where anyone can win for your party. So why bother picking the best candidate when you can give the job to your mates/wife/brother?
And it's also why the USA has the same problem with Kennedys, Clintons, Bushes, Ron and Rand Paul and so forth. Because they have the same rotten electoral system with little competition for most seats.
That's not to say that there shouldn't be these connections, but if you look at genuinely competitive markets, you see a lot less of them. Take football: there's lots of footballing families, but you don't find many cases where someone who hit the top of the game has a son or brother who also hits the top of the game. There's the Charltons, the Redknapps and the Nevilles, and that's about it.
Posted by
Tim Almond
at
08:58
5
comments