Tuesday, 16 March 2010

Fun Online Polls: Multiplier Effect & commuting times

Thanks to everybody who took part in last week's Fun Online Poll, results as follows:

A foul justification for ever more deficit spending - 66%
Some government spending creates value and some destroys value - 29%
An increase in government spending is good for the economy - 4%
Other (please specify) - 1%


IMHO, both of the first two answers are correct. It's a bit disappointing that all the major parties are waffling on about "not withdrawing the fiscal stimulus too quickly" when it appears that the vast majority don't agree with having it in the first place.

I chose the second, as I think you have to look at each item of spending separately, some are worth while, some aren't. The answer "An increase in government spending is good for the economy" is almost certainly wrong (unless you attach a million caveats) and whoever chose the last answer didn't specify what he or she thought, so that's not much help.
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As an interlude, I did a Fun Online Poll on nationalities within the UK recently, and it appears (as James D pointed out) that the English are more likely to choose 'British' than 'English', but the Celts are more likely to choose 'Scottish', 'Welsh' or 'Irish' than 'British'.

The BBC report on a survey in Northern Ireland that says the same thing: "A total of 42% of those surveyed told the pollsters they were Irish while 39% identified themselves as British. 18% saw themselves as Northern Irish."
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OK, this week's Fun Online Poll is just out of interest, as I've never really found a satisfactory 'official' statistic (and the variation around the mean is as important as the average): "How long does your journey to work take in the morning?"

Vote here or use the widget in the sidebar.

2 comments:

Curmudgeon said...

On commuting times, I've seen stats (don't have the reference to hand) that say over the past 40 years the average commuting time is much the same, but the average commuting distance is about 50% further.

Now some may say that underlines the pointlessness of improving transport, but on the other hand it greatly widens both the number of potential employment locations for a worker, and the number of potential workers for an employer.

Mark Wadsworth said...

C, yes, as a general rule, that is perfectly true (quite what the exact percentages are is irrelevant).

The benefit of better transport is more potential employers, more potential workers, more potential spending opportunities and more potential customers.

The corollary of this is, that assuming both workers and employers have fairly fixed locations, we ought to be building more factories, offices and shops where people live and more houses near where the factories, offices and shops are.

But whichever way you look at it, the NIMBYs and Greenies don't like it.