... but if he did, it'd be something like this. Complete with random words in CAPITALS, bold and italics.
There's no point in me paraphrasing the key bits as he debunks MMGW theory in a dozen different ways, each of which is as plausible as the others, but I like his rallying cry at the end:
"Human-generated greenhouse gases are warming the earth but not as much as alarmists say" never was a good strategy for winning the debate, and it's probably too late now. The only battle that remains is trying to limit the extent of emission controls on practical grounds, but the principle of emission controls has already been conceded. Dissenters should have just stuck with the evidence: there is no sign of CO2-caused warming at all, [and] the "well established physics" of greenhouse theory be damned.
* To paraphrase the Carlsberg slogan.
Thursday, 14 January 2010
Karl Denninger doesn't write about physics ...*
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8 comments:
"Human-generated greenhouse gases are warming the earth but not as much as alarmists say" never was a good strategy for winning the debate - maybe it wasn't intended to; maybe it an attempt to approximate the truth by someone who was more interested in that.
(btw, I posted an aplogy for the 'needle prize' yesterday, but it seems to have got lost in cyberspace)
Interesting stuff in there. I'm unhappy with his thermos and blanket though.
Take a thermos that's just been filled with some hot liquid. It contains a fixed amount of heat energy. If the thermos is a perfect insulator, it's internal temperature will remain constant. If not and the outside is cooler than the liquid, the heat energy wll gradually escape and the internal temperature will drop until it matches the outside.
Compare that with a human body inside a perfect insulator, with outside air below 37C. The body is not a fixed amount of heat energy. Unless it's dead, it is generating heat energy all the time. The trapped air is warmed to 37C and beyond by the generated heat energy which can't escape the container. So the body gets hotter and eventually is cooked (ignoring suffocation, organ thermal breakdown,....).
With a less than perfect insulator, the temperature of the enclosed air can easily rise to above 37C, until the temperature gradient across the insulator is such that equilibrium is reached with the outside. The enclosed temp depends on the thermal conductivity of the insulator and the outside temp. OK, it's messier in real life with a blanket, but the principle holds. A living body doesn't act like a hot liquid.
It's a pity he used that body/blanket example.
D, please expand.
VFTS, agreed, the blanket example is badly chosen. But can a human really warm up the blanket to >37 C? further, even the Thermos is badly chosen as well, as the liquid is not heated from the outside.
Global warming in terms of Karl Denninger - he actually has written on it in terms of the scam.
Mark, all I meant was that the "winning the debate" remark implies that there're only two views and that everyone with something to say must join one side or the other and then try like mad to win. Although the Global Warmmongers clearly are a Team, and refer to themselves as such, the sceptics - I like "refuteniks" myself - are a mixed bag. Some think that there may indeed be global warming that demands some special explanation, some think that CO2 may be part (but only part) of that explanation, some offer other explanations, some doubt that there's any atypical warming that needs explanation at all, and so on. What unites them, I think, is a mixture of exasparation and contempt at the dud science, the dishonest propaganda and the bullying tactics of the Team. Plus, of course, horror at the stupidity of the masses, and stupidity and worse of the politicians, who fall for all this garbage. In Britain, the fools who have fallen for it most unreservedly are the sort of people who enjoy sneering at uneducated Americans for falling for fraudulent preachers. Oh the irony!
D, all is clear. Put me down as a refutenik.
Ah... The good old Thermos. Put hot things in one and it keeps them hot. Put cold things in one and it keeps them cold. What I want to know is - how does it know what to do? :-)
Pogo, it consults God's thermometer.
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