Friday, 15 January 2010

History repeating itself ...

Bayard left this comment on my post "If David Cameron had a pledge card...":

'Twas ever thus. Twenty or so years ago my mother was on the County Council and she was always complaining that the Tories "fiddled around the edges", making lots of little cuts to lots of little budgets, but leaving all the big stuff untouched. Maximum perceived action, minimum actual effect.

Which links in nicely to George Osborne's latest bright ideas:

The Conservatives would start to cut public spending straight away if they won the General Election, shadow chancellor George Osborne has said... he said spending on advertising and tax credits for people earning more than £50,000 would be cut. He also identified child trust funds for better-off families as an area where savings could be made.

Sure, we can save maybe a billion quid by scrapping government advertising. A good start. But the 'savings' to be made by cutting tax credits and child trust funds (whether or not you agree in principle) for 'higher earners' (as defined) would amount to £10 million or £100 million (total Tax Credits paid out £15 billion-odd, times random small percentage), and you'd have to net off the extra admin and hassle of clawing it back. So, having had years to think about it, he's come up with plans to reduce the annual public sector deficit by slightly less than one per cent.

Liam Byrne is on top form, managing yet again to contradict himself several times in one short soundbite:

Responding to the speech, Chief Secretary to the Treasury Liam Byrne said in his "rush to cut spending, George Osborne would put the recovery in grave danger (1). But until he says how he'll do it (2) and whether he'll match Labour's pledge to halve the deficit in four years (3, 4), his speeches must be taken with a huge pinch of salt (5). This is yet another Tory speech which raises more questions than it answered (6)"

1) Does he seriously suggest that a sixth-of-one-per-cent reduction in government spending going to "put the recovery in grave danger"?

2) George Osborne did say exactly what he was planning to do.

3) Clearly, George isn't planning to "halve the deficit", which would mean reducing government spending by £50 billion to £100 billion (depending on what assumptions you make about future tax receipts).

4) From (1) we get the impression that Liam doesn't want spending to be cut. But then he suggests that his own government is going to cut spending by fifty times as much, see (3), suggesting that he does want spending to be cut. Has Liam made up his mind on this?

5) This government has managed to run out of salt, we're having to buy it back off the Germans.

6) See (2).

9 comments:

Dick Puddlecote said...

Great analysis of Byrne's soundbite-fest.

The Tories ain't perfect by any stretch of the imagination, but just on the economy, I generally have to stifle a giggle when some Labour politico puts on a straight face and tries to argue that we can trust them more with our money.

wv: amordise - rather apt for the blog of an accountant, I thought. :-)

Friday Night Smoke said...

If they scrap gov't advertising I'll be an immensely happy bunny.
I listen to the radio quite a bit, and I estimate that at least half of the advertising at the moment is some taxpayer-funded prattle about global warming or how I am going to kill all the little children by speeding (especially grating when I am on a frigging motorway).
If all that stops I will be eternally grateful.

Dick Puddlecote said...

FNS: Stop? They've barely started!

13th Spitfire said...

No actually there is plenty of British salt only, us being British and all, we are not buying it. The same way that there is plenty (and I do mean a shit load of the stuff) of coal yet we are buying it from Russia.

Make sense?

No?

Welcome to Britain - the nation of never ending self depreciation.

Mark Wadsworth said...

DP, indeed. I have commented over at yours.

FNS, so you've noticed that too? On the telly nearly every advertising break has at least one "public information film" in it, but I can't be arsed to watch ITV solid for 24 hours and do an accurate count.

13th, that was intended to be light-hearted - the Germans buy salt from us, as it happens. And yes, we have got centuries worth of coal, it's just that the Russian stuff is cheaper for the time being. It'd be nice to have a couple of working UK coal mines as back up though, just in case ...

aaronarin said...

Great analysis

John Pickworth said...

Just seen this headline in the Telegraph:

Alistair Darling brands Alex Salmond 'incapable' of managing taxpayers' money

Is that funny or what? :-)

Wait till DP sees it.

bayard said...

"And yes, we have got centuries worth of coal, it's just that the Russian stuff is cheaper for the time being. It'd be nice to have a couple of working UK coal mines as back up though, just in case ..."

I remember in the early 80's in a north-eastern port* seeing two ships; one was loading coal, the other was unloading it! The wonders of the market!

*not Newcastle, unfortunately.

James Higham said...

Sure, we can save maybe a billion quid by scrapping government advertising.

And deceitful advertising at that.