Wednesday 13 January 2010

Forecast

Dr. Gerhard Löbert nails his colours to the mast*:

... the mean global temperature varied in a quasi-periodic manner, with a mean period of 70 years [in the last 150 years]... The hypothesis that the global warming of the past decades is man-made is based on the results of calculations with climate models in which the main influence on climate is not included. The most important climate driver (besides solar luminosity) comes from the interplay of solar activity, interplanetary magnetic field strength, cosmic radiation intensity, and cloud cover of the Earth atmosphere...

The extremely close correlation between the changes in the mean global temperature and the small changes in the rotational velocity of the Earth in the past 150 years, which has been ignored by the mainstream climatologists, leaves little room for a human influence on climate. This close correlation results from the action of galactic vacuum density waves on the Sun and on the Earth...

From the steady decrease of the rotational velocity of the Earth that set in in Dec. 2003, it can reliably be concluded that the mean Earth temperature will decrease again in 2010 for the duration of three decades as it did from 1872 to 1913 and from 1942 to 1972.

Like a proper scientist, he is looking forward to people trying to prove him wrong.

* Or "throws down the gauntlet" or "sounds the battle charge", or some other similarly gung-ho expression.

9 comments:

AntiCitizenOne said...

Do Carthorses make a lot of CO2?

http://motls.blogspot.com/2010/01/warming-trends-in-england-from-1659.html

HeartAttackSurvivor said...

"galactic vacuum density waves"
WTF?

View from the Solent said...

"Needle of Honour of German Aeronautics"? Awarded annually on the day following 31st March.

I think you've been had.

DBC Reed said...

Dunno what all the fuss is about. I covered some of these variables (at least those that are comprehensible) in my ten variable formula (which I can't be arsed to to work out, tell you the truth)And he does n't mention volcanoes,the jetstream etc which I pitched into the mix out of sheer joie de vie.
Please explain the Needle of Honor of German Aeronautics which this geezer has received.Is this a literal translation of something colloquial?It sounds very covetable but why is it an honour to get the needle?

Mark Wadsworth said...

AC1, obviously they do.

HAS, that stumped me as well.

VFTS, DBC "needle of honour" may sound silly to English ears, but you must remember that Germans were very sensitive about medals and ranks after the unpleasantess in the middle of last century.

So instead of giving actual medals, they just get a bit of ribbon and a needle to pin it to their lapel. The German expression is "Ehrennadel" and Dr L was a recipient thereof in 2000.

Lola said...

Re DSBC Reed and Yourself - I reckon the Needle of Honor is bang on the money. If the good professors findings 'needle' warmists so much the better.

dearieme said...

The whole CO2 shemozzle is "catch-all science". All the little bits of error in your model are lumped together and blamed on one innocuous effect.

Been there, done it. But not at a cost of trillions of dolars.

John Pickworth said...

A chap in the countryside said it woz farting cows wot dun it!

CFD Ed said...

Interesting... I expect he will be vitriolically attacked, ridiculed and accused of being a 'denier'...