As is broadly agreed, even among its proponents, the EU is an empire, and as we well know from history, empires grow and grow until they seem all-powerful and then collapse* pretty quickly**. Something else that we learn from history is that things will not be 'different this time', nope, they will be the same. There are infinite strands to this, so it might be helpful to look at a number of areas in which the EU-project might start to become derailed, see posts (2) to (6) below. No doubt, when future historians write about the rise and fall of the EU, the reasons they give might be something else entirely - so if I've missed anything obvious, please leave a comment.
* If the converse were true, then all countries would have merged into empires, and all smaller empires would have merged into one large empire covering the whole world, which is clearly not the case.
** From Erich Honecker being chucked out to fall of Berlin Wall = one month; from fall of Berlin Wall to reunification of East and West Germany = eleven months; yada-yada; from German reunification to complete disintegration of Soviet Union = fourteen months. Notwithstanding that we have the Poles and Solidarity to thank for all this.
Tuesday, 11 March 2008
Watching the EU unravel (1)
My latest blogpost: Watching the EU unravel (1)Tweet this! Posted by Mark Wadsworth at 14:35
Labels: EU, Future history, Germany, Reunification
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3 comments:
The rise of a European empire isn't really that shocking, the history of the world is the history of empires rather than the history of sovereign nation states which are relatively recent concepts. And Empires have never really gone away, China is an empire, rather than a single nation, the US as has been remarked by Nial Ferguson is an "empire in denial".
The problem with the EU is that its strength is still on the periphery, even if the power is clustering in the centre.
Mark,
I may or not want to comment but can I suggest you have a separate or designated post to cover all comments - could make for a nice debate once posts 7-(cannot find the infinity sign on this damn keyboard)are made?
STB.
Just type an 8 on its side?
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