There have been a few headlines (e.g. here) about bids to build new nukes being withdrawn, the whole story is nigh impenetrable, but what sticks out is this, taken from Horizon's own website:
OUR SITES: WYLFA
Wylfa, on the Isle of Anglesey, has a long established history of nuclear power generation and an experienced local skills base. Anglesey has big ambitions to realise its potential as a centre of low carbon generation for the future and recognises the key role that a new nuclear power station could play.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As well as vital infrastructure, including a connection to the national electricity grid, Anglesey has a highly-skilled local nuclear workforce and excellent access to direct sea water cooling facilities.
In total, the proposed development site comprises: 232 hectares of land secured by RWE npower in late 2008, along with a 3600MW Grid Connection Agreement and further land secured by the joint venture, now Horizon Nuclear Power, from the NDA and energy company EDF via an auction process in April 2009.
The land which surrounds the existing Magnox nuclear power station at Wylfa was nominated into the Government's Strategic Siting assessment in March 2009. After being included in the Government's draft Nuclear National Policy Statement (NPS), the site was listed in the final NPS in June 2011 along with seven other sites deemed strategically suitable for nuclear development. The Nuclear NPS was approved by a vote in Parliament on 18th July 2011.
So basically, this consortium (RWE and E.On) has been given vague outline planning permission to build nukes on land it owns, it has not invested a penny in actual generation and owns no power stations, and can now sit back and wait for some other mug to come along and first pay £ billions to buy up the outline planning permission, i.e. the now-valuable land, and then to spend yet more billions on actually building the nukes.
Thursday, 4 October 2012
Nuclear power: we own land, give us money
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
15:29
16
comments
Labels: Land values, Nuclear power, Speculation
Economic Myths: Gearing up reduces the cost of capital
The myth* is as follows, and it perpetrated in particular by bankers:
"Companies (especially banks) like financing their activities with loans rather than with share capital, because the cost of share capital is higher."
i. Nonsense. There are ten million worthy articles, books and theses about the ideal mix of loans and shareholders' funds (share capital, retained profits) and the short answer is that a business, any business, exists to make a profit and then we have to invent rules as to how these profits are to be shared out.
ii. Once wages, expenses and taxes have been paid, the remaining profit goes to the "owners", be they sole traders, partners, members, shareholders or bondholders, these are just legal-contractual arrangements to say how profits will be split up and do not really affect the actual profits made by the actual business.
iii. Let's ignore borrowing from banks for the time being as this is negligible anyway and such lending to business as exists usually relates to land and buildings.
iv. With a sole trader, partnership, a building society or a co-operative, there usually isn't any split (in economic terms) between "owners' funds" and "loans from owners", the split only exists with companies limited by shares.
v. Now, some people like to play safe and prefer investing in corporate bonds because they are lower risk and lower return; other people like investing in shares because they are higher risk and higher return, so it makes sense for a business to tap both sources, but overall it all averages out. If there are more bonds, then they become riskier and demand higher returns, and with higher leverage, the shares also become riskier and demand higher returns, but they are fighting over the same pot and the size of the pot doesn't change.
Really, it is a principal-agent problem
vi. Senior managers of quoted companies are often paid according to how well the share price** is doing and not according to how well the underlying business is doing, so for them it makes sense to gamble and gear up by borrowing to fund expansion rather than using retained profits, or borrowing money to finance share buy backs etc. If the gamble fails, they gain or lose little, if it pays off, they get a disproportionate share.
vii. In particular, senior bankers (for whom share-price related bonuses are de rigeur) are wailing that higher capital requirements mean that their "cost of capital" increases. But the "cost of capital" is merely the sum total of profits paid out to its owners (shareholders and bondholders) and while at any point in time the payments/reward to £1 shareholders' funds is higher than the payments/reward to £1 of borrowing/bonds, shifting from bonds to shares does not increase the total "cost of capital".
How can it? "cost of capital" just means "profits" which are largely unaffected by these shenanigins i.e. if the business/bank uses more shareholders' funds, then the amount is pays bondholders goes down (in absolute terms and as a % of bonds outstanding) and the amount it pays shareholders goes up in absolute terms and down as a % of shareholders' funds. The total income and the total profits stay the same. It's like somebody complaining that his wages will go down if he gives his wife more housekeeping money. It's like a sole trader complaining about his own drawings from the business, or an owner-manager complaining that his salary is too high or his dividends are too high.
viii. So what these senior bankers really mean is that higher capital requirements mean that their bonuses would go down, is all.
* For further debunking of this and similar EM's particular to the banking sector, see this article in The Economist.
** The share price is in turn a nigh meaningless figure, being calculated on the basis of two consensus wild guesses - future profits and the appropriate discount rate. Future profits are unearned income in the literal sense that they have not been earned yet, and there is all sorts of other manipulation going on and people have to try and guess how successful any business or industry will be at lobbying for tax breaks, subsidies, regulations etc.
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
10:41
5
comments
Wednesday, 3 October 2012
Fun In The Sun
I originally saw this article in The Sun, but I can't track it down there, so let's refer to a similar article in The Daily Mail:
Today Treasury ministers said Labour's existing proposal for a reduction in VAT from 20 per cent to 17.5 per cent would cost £12.5 billion this year.
Sajid Javid, Economic Secretary to the Treasury, said: "Labour have let the cat out of the bag – if elected, their plans mean a £500 tax bombshell for every person who works hard and wants to get on in life. Labour isn't learning. They still stand for more borrowing and more debt - and higher taxes."
What a splendid bit of Indian Bicycle Marketing!
The Tories reduced, or plan to reduce, income tax/corporation tax ever so slightly, but got their retaliation in first by hiking the worst taxes of all, VAT and National Insurance, by 2.5% and 2% respectively shortly after taking over (whether Labour would have done the same is a moot point, they probably would, as it happens). The overall effect is a nice tax cut for the usual suspects - banks, bankers and large landowners and a correspondingly larger tax hike on the productive economy (the headline corporation tax cut was largely funded by a further reduction in capital allowances; the overseas earnings exemption primarily benefits banks).
Those two tax hikes amounted to £23 billion or something, which is a "tax bombshell" of £700-plus for each "hard-working taxpayer". Now Labour say they would reverse one of these tax hikes, which in the trade is referred to as a "£12.5 billion cost"* and would, apparently, hike income tax slightly instead, the overall effect of which will be £nil.
As to "more borrowing and more debt - and higher taxes", I think that's a very fair summary of what the Tories have been up to so far, isn't it?
* If the other party calls for a tax cut, it's a "cost" and if they call for a tax hike it's a "bombshell". Those Are The Rules of Indian Bicycle Marketing.
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
18:30
2
comments
Labels: Income Tax, Indian bicycle market, VAT
"Oregon farmer eaten by pigs"
From The Guardian:
Oregon authorities are investigating how a farmer was eaten by his pigs. Terry Vance Garner, 69, never returned after he set out to feed his animals last Wednesday on his farm near the Oregon coast, the Coos county district attorney said on Monday.
A family member found Garner's dentures and pieces of his body in the pig enclosure several hours later, but most of his remains had been consumed, the district attorney, Paul Frasier, said. Several of the pigs weighed 320kg (700lb) or more.
It is possible Garner had a medical emergency, such as a heart attack, or was knocked over by the animals, then killed and eaten, Frasier said, adding that at least one pig had previously bitten Garner.
Makes mental note: pigs are omnivores.
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
16:48
7
comments
Hey! I thought it was Labour's turn this week to come up with crackpot policy proposals!!
Spotted by Bob E in The Telegraph:
Buyers of gas-guzzling sportscars and other large-engine vehicles would face a new purchase tax (1) of up to £23,000 under plans drawn up by a government adviser and backed by a Cabinet minister.
Even the price of some small cars would rise by more than £1,500 in exchange for the abolition of annual Vehicle Excise Duty payments. However, buyers of new small efficient cars would get a government subsidy of up to £750 (2), under the proposed rules, which are being promoted by the Liberal Democrats. The proposals for vehicle taxation come as the Treasury considers the best way to reform or replace VED to respond to the increasing fuel efficiency of modern cars (3).
The plan is put forward today in a think-tank paper written by Tim Leunig, who has recently been appointed a special adviser to the Government. Mr Leunig’s paper for the Centre Forum think-tank – written before his appointment -- has been backed by Ed Davey, the Energy Secretary...
Mr Leunig said: "More efficient cars save motorists money and reduce global warming. What's not to like?"(4)
1) We already have a "purchase tax" on new cars, it's called "VAT". And a very bad tax it is too.
2) Brilliant. A "purchase tax" and a subsidy, all in one go, maybe we could just net off the two to a smaller tax amount?
3) We already have a splendid tax on the amount of fuel you use/amount of road space you use (two birds, one stone), it's called Fuel Duty.
4) Coming up with shit ideas and then using one of my favourite sign-offs, which I in turn adopted from The Remittance Man.
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
16:26
26
comments
Labels: Cars, Edward Davey MP, Fuel duty, Idiots, Tim Leunig
Actual rental growth verses [sic] regular pay growth
Here's a nice chart from the September Halifax house price report:
What this boils down to is that rents act exactly the same as income tax; when wages go up, rental values go up accordingly. So we could save ourselves the faff of taxing earned income and just tax rental values instead, it would be a far less economically damaging way of collecting exactly the same revenue.
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
10:09
12
comments
"Where we fail, will you do the decent thing and step in and do our job for us..?"
Asks ERSA:
The Employment Related Services Association (ERSA) has today welcomed the vast majority of recommendations in the Work and Pensions Committee’s report on Youth Unemployment and the Youth Contract.
Following extensive consultation with members, ERSA provided both written and oral evidence to the Committee earlier this year, many of the recommendations of which have been picked up by the Committee.
Responding to the report ERSA’s Chief Executive, Kirsty McHugh, said:
“The report highlights concern amongst employment services providers about the eligibility criteria for the new Youth Contract programme focused on 16 and 17 year olds. We agree with the Committee that a broader set of eligibility criteria would better focus support on those who need it most and make it a more deliverable programme. We also believe that the maximum funding of £2,200 per young person may not be sufficient to allow for the intensive interventions often required to provide effective support for the most disadvantaged NEETs.
“ERSA also agrees with the Committee’s view that the introduction of wage incentive for employers is a welcome step in encouraging firms to take on young recruits, the vast majority of whom will be a valuable addition to the workforce. We strongly urge the Government to keep take-up under review and consider targeted marketing campaigns where take-up is low.”
A copy of the Committee’s report is available here.
Emailed in by Bob E.
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
07:59
2
comments
Labels: Quangocracy, Rent seeking, Subsidies, Unemployment
Tuesday, 2 October 2012
I went to one of those "comprehensive" schools, they're free, isn't it, yah?
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
14:13
2
comments
Labels: Caricature, Ed Miliband, Education, Idiots
Monday, 1 October 2012
"Lone jogger gets roo'd shock..."
Spotted by Chuckles in The Courier Mail:
A QUEENSLAND man has survived a terrifying attack by an eastern grey kangaroo, delivering a knockout punch to the rogue animal's face...
Mr Young, 24, was jogging in a paddock near Everdell Park at Gleneagle when the roo squared up against him and landed a swift kick to his stomach.
"I was running along when I spotted a buck and a doe with her joey on the other side of the fence," he said. "I was about 30 yards from the mob ... when the doe started to hop toward me. She looked friendly enough so I didn't give it much thought but then she hopped in my path and came at me, growling and hissing. She started clawing at me so I whacked her a couple of times to get her away."
Probably sounds quite funny if you read it with an Australian accent.
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
14:10
2
comments
Fun Online Polls: Lib Dem and Labour crackpot ideas
The results in last week's Fun Online Poll were as follows:
Which are your favourite Lib Dem crackpot ideas of the week?
Use your pension fund as a mortgage deposit: 75 votes
Vince Cable to lead the Lib Dems into a coalition with Labour: 26 votes
The Business Bank: 26 votes
Wealth taxes instead of LVT: 18 votes
Other, please specify: 7 votes
So Nick's pensions-for-homes idea pretty much swept the board there.
------------------------------------
Ed Balls is set to open the Labour Conference with an even better plan:
The billions of pounds raised from the sale of 4G mobile licences will be used to help young people get on the property ladder, shadow chancellor Ed Balls will pledge.
It will provide £500 million to spare first-timers paying stamp duty on properties worth up to £250,000. The rest of the cash – another £2.5 billion – will be spent on building 100,000 more affordable homes.
So a strong start there! The Labour conference runs until Thursday, so please leave your nominations for "Most moronic policy suggestion from the Labour Party conference" in the widget in the sidebar, I can then sort our the official poll, and then the week after that we can do "Most twattish ideas from the Conservative Party conference".
Posted by
Mark Wadsworth
at
07:27
0
comments
Labels: Conservatives, Ed Balls MP, FOP, Home-Owner-Ism, Idiots, Labour, Nick Clegg, Pensions
