Data from the ONS.
My assumption is that at some stage later in the year, the red line will be undershooting the other two. But we shall see.
Put On Your Big Boy Pants, Maybe?
1 hour ago
Sunday, 24 May 2020
Weekly deaths - all causes - E&W - 2020 - up to week 19
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10 comments:
Already happening in the case of respiratory diseases. week 19 =923, the average in the previous five years = 1,283
Djc, thanks for extra info. I don't bother delving into official causes, because they just pick the most likely one out of several possibles, and it's not always clear cut. Actual totals are inarguable.
If total deaths for 2020 turn out to be average, the government is going to say that "lockdown" worked. If they turn out to be more, they will just claim that they would have been a lot worse.
... and if they are lower, they will say "look at all the deaths we can prevent by shutting everything down"
Because, to be fair, for every 1,000,000 people who don't go to a rock festival or ski-ing or pot-holing or to a football match, there will be a few avoided deaths.
Mark, there must have been a significant number of people not killed on the roads as a result of the travel restrictions.
B, yes, fewer road deaths, fewer people beaten up in pub car parks, fewer drug deaths, whatever.
Less car racing idiots getting hurt...
L, apart from that chap who managed 201 mph on the motorway in an Audi recently...
But he didn't get hurt did he?
C, I assume not, or else we would never have seen the video. The video is
quite impressive!
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