Sunday, 29 March 2015

"Now a good time to buy euro?"

Asks Random here.

I have absolutely no idea, if in doubt, look at a longer term chart and ask yourself whether EUR really has bottomed out yet…


Bayard said...

Given that the ECB is keeping the printing presses busy with QE, I'd say not. I suppose it all depends what you are buying the euros with.

Random said...

This is the point, I don't think QE will have as much of an effect. But everyone else does.
Still looks like it has not bottomed out. Unsure.
Anyway, this is insane:
GTA is neglect?

Mark Wadsworth said...

B, don't think about it too hard, just look at the charts.

R, me too unsure.

As to GTA, they are mental. I cheerfully admit that I once walked into a games shop to buy the one my son had asked for and asked the man behind the counter whether it was 'age appropriate'.

"No certainly not" he replied "His mum will go mental if she sees him playing it.".

'Good" I replied, "I'll take it."

Lola said...

Whatever the Euro does vis a vis other currencies, or what all these fiat monies do vis a vis each other, is beyond parody.

I personally think we are in some form of end game. A sort of correction to the 20th Century excesses with warfare and welfare. Bad money has been used to fund these, but sooner or later market forces will force a correction. Quite how or why or when I know not.

So in the meantime play all the currency speculation games you like, but, take some of the profit from each trade and convert it into gold (or silver).

Mark Wadsworth said...

L, whatever happens, most people don't care. Most people either have very little in savings or they have negative savings (a mortgage).

If all cash and all debts were cancelled overnight, then by and large, we as a society would be slightly better off (the gains to the winners outweigh the pain to the losers).

Dinero said...

the asset rich , land owners would benefit more, than the holders of cash, which I suspect are the less well off, and industrial commerce in general.

paulc156 said...

Well if "everyone else" does think ECB QE will weaken the euro then it's best to go long on the euro since there are no more people to convince that the euro will weaken further.

Random said...

According to Warren Mosler:
"It’s the net exports, paid for by non residents selling their currency to buy euro to spend, that drives up the euro until the net exports cease and trade goes negative. And with the rigidities/J curve/etc. the move up could be extreme, with the ECB unable to dampen it due to ideological restrictions on fx purchases."