Friday, 17 February 2012

It would have been far cheaper just to buy the heroin...

From The Daily Mail:

The West is losing the heroin war in Afghanistan – ten years after Tony Blair pledged that wiping out the drug was one of the main reasons for invading the country. Despite spending £18 billion (1) and a conflict which has so far cost the lives of almost 400 British troops, production of the class-A drug by Afghan farmers rose between 2001 and 2011 from just 185 tons to a staggering 5,800 tons... (2)

Some 15 per cent of Afghanistan’s Gross National Product now comes from drug-related exports – a business worth up to £1.6 billion each year, it was claimed.(3)


1) I can't be bothered looking up how much the USA has spent; the total is probably ten times that, call it £180 billion over ten years or something.

2) The apparent increase is misleading, all that happened is that production has gone back up to its pre-Taliban levels.

3) Wot? All that fuss, all those deaths, not to mention £18 billion quid a year down the toilet, just to get our hands on/prevent other people getting their hands on drugs which we could have bought for £1.6 billion a year (plus a bit more because increased demand increases the price, so what)? Whether we'd re-sell it (to put our domestic drug dealers out of business as well) or just chuck it in the Indian Ocean is a separate debate.

Furthermore, buying up the drugs would have been a splendid way of preventing the Taliban getting into power in the first place - it would have pitted the financial interests of yer average Afghan farmer against them, they'd have preferred to stick with the easy Western cash.

14 comments:

Anonymous said...

Unfortunately (I think) arms dealers have a far greater lobbying influence that drug pushers...possibly excepting Big Pharma.

dearieme said...

Astonishingly, someone opined the other day that Mr Toni wasn't our worst ever PM. Bonkers.

dearieme said...

P.S. your new sign-in system is horrendous - the letters are a bugger to read.

Mark Wadsworth said...

Anon, do you think? Their profit margin on that £18 billion is only a few £billion, we could afford to compensate them for their 'lost profits' as well, it'd still work out cheaper.

D, that was Blogger who changed it, not me. You're right, it is awful, I've turned it off, but if I get bombarded with spam it's going back on again.

Derek said...

Agreed. It's awful. First time I've have had to reload to get a readable captcha.

Antisthenes said...

Better still subsidise food production so that they make the same or more as poppy growing.

Mark Wadsworth said...

Anti, the problem is, they'll take the subsidies for food and grow the poppies anyway.

Even if we demand that they hand over physical food, who's to say they didn't buy it elsewhere? Who's to say whether their harvest really was so bad this year that they can only hand over three sacks of rice @ £0.5 billion each?

Remember, aid/farming subsidies => massive fraud and corruption.

Anonymous said...

@ Mark 16.24

Yes, relatively small potatoes compared to this...

http://costofwar.com/en/

I don't know where I heard it, but it's been suggested that one reason for bombing the shit out of other countries is that a lot of weapons have a 'use by' date.

Lola said...

Whaddawewont? Decriminalised drugs! Whenduhwewannthem? Naow!

Bayard said...

Almost anything is cheaper than fighting a war. The Italians know this and, when they were in Afghanistan, they paid the Afghans to leave them alone and consequently had a quiet time.

Bayard said...

"Unfortunately (I think) arms dealers have a far greater lobbying influence that drug pushers...possibly excepting Big Pharma."

I did hear that Big Pharma (in the form of the legal drug producers) were interested in carrying on the war, to prevent the Afghans reducing the price of opiates and hence morphine.

Rob said...

Wasn't the aim of the war to remove the Taleban and al-Qaeda? Subsequently there may have been political sidesteps to include a "war on drugs" angle, but this wasn't the primary aim.

Also, if the UK government had offered to buy the lot, (a) the price would have shot up, and (b) everyone would get in on the deal, with it now being legal and above board, 'n all.

Macheath said...

The big - or small - thing about opium is that the entire year's product of a small village can be carried along vertiginous mountain tracks and across flooded rivers in a bag - try doing that with potatoes.

A few years ago, while Blair was in full pontifical mode on the subject, I was frantically trying to locate enough morphine for my terminally ill father in the face of a national shortage and rationing at the local pharmacy.

Suffice to say the name of Blair was always met with hollow laughs in our household as a result.

Mark Wadsworth said...

Anon $502 billion, tasty.

L, yes.

B, yes re the Italians. The conspiracy theory that the Afgh war was sponsored by Australia on behalf of Tasmanian opium farmers might be down to me.

Rob, they used to re-write the reasons for the Afgh war every few months to respond to events. Opium had NOTHING to do with starting it (the Taliban had pretty much stamped out opium farming), although it might have been a reason for continuing. A bit like the ever-changing reasons they gave us for wanting to have ID-cards.

No, the price would not "shoot up". We only have to offer a bit more than the illegals; and the price which the illegals will offer will drop significantly as they will not have a market any more.

MacH, sorry to hear that - was this shortage to be traced back to the Taliban or the war? Because as the article explains, opium production reached its low point in 2000-01 under the Taliban, it started picking up again once we invaded.