From the BBC:
... the Met Office is issuing a revised forecast for more unsettled weather well into the month. It is a far cry from the "barbecue summer" it predicted back in April. The news will raise questions about the Met Office's ability to make reliable seasonal forecasts...
The real problem for the Met Office is that this is the third summer in a row where its forecast has failed.
In 2007, the Met Office chirped: "The summer is yet again likely to be warmer than normal. There are no indications of a particularly wet summer." We got downpours and floods in the wettest summer for England and Wales since 1912. Temperatures were below average.
In April 2008, the Met Office forecast: "Summer temperatures are likely to be warmer than average and rainfall near or above average." That did not prepare people for one of the wettest summers on record with high winds and low sunshine.
In both instances, the Met Office failed to predict the movements of the jet stream - the high-level wind that races round the world 10km above the surface.
Two Birds, One Stone!
1 hour ago
2 comments:
If the BBC were presented with something written in words of one syllable they would still 'draw the wrong conclusion'!
Burning Our Money has a good post on the met office, as I commented.
Next - "Oops, sorry. You clearly didn't understand when we said that MMGW was a worry. It was but only a sort of a worry based on probablity. We're sorry that it hasn't happened but we did say it was only probable. And we cannot be blamed for the fact that so many of you wasted soooo much money and time doing 'green' things which have with hindsight proved to be such an epic waste of effort.
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