Tuesday 21 July 2009

The bankers' bonus culture - a complete red herring.

They're all wading in now, even the Tories, muttering darkly about the 'bonus culture' having got the banks into a mess.

*rant*

Which is complete tripe of course - these bonuses were a symptom of the credit bubble and not the cause. It must be quite clear to anybody that the whole New Labour economic miracle and G-d knows how many consecutive-quarters-of-economic -growth since 1997 (cheerfully adding on a dozen that happened under the previous government, of course) were based on the house price bubble (which makes home-owners feel wealthier and allows them to spend in excess of their incomes by constantly re-mortgaging), and that the property price bubble is merely the flip-side of the credit bubble (you can't have one without the other).

So Labour wanted there to be a bubble; and the gullible British public wanted there to be a bubble - have we already forgotten all the smug conversations about how much our houses had gone up in value?

Both bubbles are themselves huge con-tricks, of course, but somebody somewhere has to do the conning. On the property-bubble side we had endless property shows on the telly, endless newspaper articles ramping property and the constant drip-drip saying that you have to 'get on the ladder' and the way that home-owners look down on tenants (while cheerfully piling into buy-to-let...). On the other side we had the Chinese (and others) selling us cheap goods and lending the proceeds back to UK banks; we had the Bank of England keeping base rates artificially low; we had the FSA turning a wilfully blind eye to reckless lending; and of course we had the whizz-kids at the banks performing alchemy whereby self-certified and 125% loans were securitised and so on.

These whizz-kids were just doing the government's dirty work for them - the government and the gullible British public wanted them to do this in order to maintain the illusion that the paper profits we were all earning were somehow a real and just reward merely for owning a home.

Sure, these whizz-kids paid themselves handsomely at their shareholders' expense, but even the shareholders believed the hype, and, like victims of all good con-tricks, they wanted to believe the hype - now it's all gone tits up they claim that they were completely hoodwinked, or in the case of many Northern Rock shareholders, believe that the government brought the bank down and now want compensation.

I am not ashamed to say that I also made handsome pile of money from the property market in the ten years 1998 - 2008 (and am now renting again, I'll sit this one out, thanks); the opportunity was there, so why shouldn't I take it? Neither I nor the whizz-kids make the rules, so don't blame us for cashing in*. Blame yourselves for going along with the crazy Ponzi scheme that is the UK housing 'market'.

Just sayin', is all.

*/rant*

* The same applies to George Soros on White Wednesday, or indeed the millions who stay on the dole because The Rules tell them there is no point working unless they can earn something approaching the median wage. Don't blame George Soros, blame whomever it was who took us into the ERM; don't blame the scroungers (as easy a target as they may be), blame whomever it was who invented means testing.

3 comments:

Stan said...

Yep, the Tories are as good as everyone else at identifying symptoms as causes and then dreaming up incredibly convoluted schemes that will fail utterly to address the actual problem.

Still, at least they should be able to keep fit - what with all that jumping to conclusions.

As for the greed thing - I made a useful little sum in the eighties through some fairly fortunate speculating. It was then that I realised that the stock market is nothing other than a huge, legalised gambling institution and, therefore, a mugs game Despite making a tidy sum I vowed never to return to it. I must admit I was sorely tempted during the nineties with the imminent arrival of a little blue pill and a pharma company whose shares seemed to be reasonably cheap at the time, but I decided against it. A shame really as the share price doubled almost overnight.

DBC Reed said...

All this scapegoating of the bankers is hardly going to persuade them to start lending into the next housing bubble which all the political parties so desparately want.

banned said...

I realised a 2 decades ago that the housing market was a glorified Pyramid Selling scam financed by the banks but I'd already done my bit, swapping a tiny London flatlet for a half decent place overlooking the sea which is where I intend to retire and die. I have no idea what it is now worth, it's just home.