Monday, 2 March 2009

Even the Financial Times publishes this nonsense

From today's FT:

The Bank of England’s monetary policy committee is widely expected to cut its main rate to a new record low of 0.5 per cent, a move that will mark the beginning of a series of unorthodox measures. Termed “quantitative easing”, these steps are intended to pump money into the banking system without first borrowing it elsewhere – a process more commonly known as “printing money”.

*sigh*

We've done this before. All a government (The Treasury, The Bank of England and every single government department) can do is hand out bits of paper with numbers on them and collect bits of paper with numbers on them. Those bit of paper they hand out might be bank notes (non-interest bearing securities), they might be twenty-year index linked gilts (interest bearing securities) or they might be purely electronic balances with the Bank of England. The bits of paper they collect are also largely electronic, but this is ultimately cash that people have paid in at banks and the number on the bit of paper called 'your bank statement' just gets smaller (e.g. when you pay your tax), or indeed bigger if you were already overdrawn.

So if we agree that the government handing out twenty year index linked gilts is 'borrowing', then so is printing bank notes or indeed 'buying corporate bonds' (also known as 'lending money to businesses') in return for creating an electronic balance in favour of whomever it was who sold or issued that corporate bond.

To sum up, governments can only pump money into the banking system IF they borrow it elsewhere. In the extreme, if they do a Robert Mugabe or a Weimar, the rate of inflation will ensure that the total value of coins and notes in circulation remains roughly constant, so yes, the government can inflate away debts at the expense of savers, but the government is still borrowing by printing and issuing coins and notes.

*/sigh*

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

I am so very saddened to hear this. I can see strong signs of economic recovery in January and February in my own business, and other companies I speak to are seeing it too. I think the pump priming the state has done already is enough. If they print money there will be rampant inflation before long. Printing money is not required.

Any recovery might be well under way after the present government has to call the election, but it must be criminally negligent of them to leave the legacy of huge public debt and inflation for the next government to deal with. What was the 80's fight against inflation for?

I hope Gordon Brown is stripped of his pension for what he's done.

Lola said...

Had a good laugh this a.m. Telephoned HMRC and told them that I wasn't going to pay the 'on account' demand due on 31st Jan. Bloke asked why? "Because I am going to make damn' certain I don't make any money this year" I said. He laughed, agreeably. "OK" he said, "But you do realise that if you do we'll charge you interest". "Hahahaha" I replied, "When base rates are at 1% and may go negative I'll be asking you to pay me!" He laughed again, knowingly.

The HMRC know that Gordon is a tosser.

John B said...

"What was the 80's fight against inflation for?"

Primarily class/intergenerational war, AFAICT: there are no economic studies showing significant negative effects for ongoing inflation below about 20% per year.

Mark Wadsworth said...

JB, which 'class' or 'generation' benefits from high inflation and which ones from low inflation?

DBC Reed said...

What was the 8o's fight against inflation for?
Good question .Don't ask me mate.
The "fight", somewhat unequal, was
over wage inflation.Somehow the Tories managed to convince their mug constituency that the evil workers had taken over control of the money supply and were giving themselves huge wages.(Enoch Powell said they were innocent as new born lambs)The Tories made sure the middle classes were rewarded with house price inflation and the schadenfreude of seeing the workers beaten up by the police.The workers got the message and piled into house buying with the results that all can see.We would have been better off with wage inflation: everybody unionised or not getting the same percentage annual rise.

Mark Wadsworth said...

*sigh*

Retail Price Inflation = Bad inflation
Wage Inflation = Worst Inflation
House price inflation = Good Inflation, it's a sign of growing wealth, innit?

*/sigh*