The Times published an Ipsos MORI Survey, today, which I can't find on their website, so here's the cutting: The original data at Ipsos MORI suggests that 14% think it is 'certain, very likely or fairly likely' that they will not be able to keep up with mortgage payments, but once you knock out the 36% of people who answered N/A (no mortgage or renting), that makes 22% of those with mortgages, which is a heck of a lot of households (about 2.6 million).
Which is roughly the amount of households who would be in negative equity, if prices fall another 30% before bottoming out...
Those other statistics don't look too rosy either.
(This post updated slightly, Buctootin at HPC pointed out how to reconcile the 14% with the 21%, oops).
Saturday, 26 July 2008
21% of mortgagees worried about defaulting
My latest blogpost: 21% of mortgagees worried about defaultingTweet this! Posted by Mark Wadsworth at 20:58
Labels: Credit crunch, house price crash, statistics
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5 comments:
I've been generally positive about the state of the housing market, but the downturn is finally becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy.
And the price bubble wasn't?
I'm so glad I refused to play the property game. All around me my friends and workmates were buying houses the size of sheds for silly money. Now they live on beans on toast every day. Boo bloody hoo. I pay 52 quid a week rent on a council house which is massive, big garden with private driveway. Fair enough, I dont own my house, but I can afford to live. Suckers.
Anonymous, your friends don't own their house either. they are renting it off the bank for more money.
If an interest only mortgage is roughly 10% more expensive than above renting then rent.
AC1, more to the point, Anon isn't hurtling towards negative equity. That's the bit to be rightfully smug about.
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