Showing posts with label Weekends. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Weekends. Show all posts

Monday, 17 January 2011

Fun Online Polls: a nice lie-in and the effect of interest rate rises

Thanks to everybody who took part in last week's Fun Online Poll:

Having a nice lie-in at the weekend means staying in bed until about...
8.00 am - 12%
9.00 am - 21%
10.00 am - 27%
11.00 am - 21%
12.00 noon or later - 13%
Other, please specify - 7%


Phew, so I'm slap bang in the middle of that range. Three commenters mentioned times between 6.30 am and 7.30 am because of cats or kids. I'm not sure that counts as a 'nice lie-in', really (but my commiserations nonetheless, and don't forget that in ten years' time you'll banging on your teenage kids' doors at midday telling them to get the f- up already).

That distribution also reminds me of Florence Nightingale's fine words: "To understand God's thoughts we must study statistics, for these are the measure of His purpose"
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And lo, to this week's Fun Online Poll.

A. It is widely accepted that house prices fall if interest rates rise, the logic being that selling prices reflect the discounted Net Present Value of the rental value; so the higher the interest/discount rate, the lower the selling price. As it happens, it is quite difficult to find a correlation in real life because there are so many other factors in play (availability of credit being far more important), but hey.

B. Conversely, there are a lot of people who insist that landlords are subject to the same basic rules as any other supplier, and that the rents they charge purely reflect their input costs plus a minimum profit margin (else they go out of business, supply falls until surviving producers can increase their prices to reflect the higher input costs); even more bizarrely, some people insist that the interest they pay is an input cost in the first place.

If this were true, then assumption A. would simply not hold - higher interest rates would lead to higher rents; and the NPV of the higher rent at a higher interest/discount rate would hardly change. Of course, the interest a landlord pays is not an 'input cost' at all, it's a cost of ownership (his expense is the bank's income, separate topic).

So what do you think? Vote here or use the widget in the sidebar. There's no 'other' option this week, as I am just looking at two out of a myriad of possible factors.

Monday, 10 January 2011

Fun Online Polls: Presenters called 'Chris' and having a nice lie-in at the weekend

Thanks to everybody for the high turnout in last week's Fun Online Poll:

Who is the most irritating TV or radio presenter called "Chris"?

1st place: Chris Moyles - 50%
2nd place: Chris Evans - 30%


Also rans: Chris Tarrant - 8%, Chris off Cbeebies - 3%, Chris Hollins and Chris Morris - 1% each.


A few people left a comment saying 'All of the above', to which I responded, 'If you vote "All of the above", this cancels itself out and doesn't help identifying "the most irritating".'
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This week's Fun Online Poll is of general interest. Lolling about in bed until about 11 o'clock on a Saturday or Sunday seems 'about right' to me, but what does everybody else think?

Vote here or use the widget in the sidebar.